Texans Mock Draft Machine: Version 4.0

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A week away from the 2011 NFL Draft, we’ve updated our Texans Mock Draft Machine for the fourth time with projections from some of the most prominent mock drafts on the web.

Our Mock Machine surveys 16 mocks to project the top-10 picks in the draft. We leave the Texans’ pick at No. 11 up to a different expert each week. This week, that expert was Paul Kuharsky, the AFC South blogger for ESPN.com.

Our full methodology, including a link to each of the 16 surveyed mock drafts, can be found at the bottom of the page. Here are the results of our fourth Texans Mock Draft Machine:

Pick

Team

Player

Frequency

1

Cam Newton, QB, Auburn
Also receiving votes: Marcell Dareus (1), Patrick Peterson (1)

14 (88%)

2

Marcell Dareus, DL, Alabama
Also receiving votes: Von Miller (2)

14 (88%)

 

 

 

3

Von Miller, LB, Texas AM

11 (69%)

 

 

Also receiving votes: Blaine Gabbert (3), Dareus (1), Newton (1)

 

4

A.J. Green, WR, Georgia
Also receiving votes: Gabbert (2), Da’Quan Bowers (1), Nick Fairley (1), Peterson (1)

11 (69%)

 

 

 

5

Blaine Gabbert, QB, Missouri
Also receiving votes: Miller (3), Quinn (2), Peterson (2)

9 (56%)

6

Robert Quinn, DE/OLB, North Carolina
Also receiving votes: Green (6), Julio Jones (3), Fairley (1), Peterson (1)

5 (31%)

7

Patrick Peterson, CB, LSU
Also receiving votes: Prince Amukamara (2), Gabbert (2), Quinn (1)

11 (69%)

8

Nick Fairley, DT, Auburn
Also receiving votes: Corey Liuget (1), Jake Locker (1), J.J. Watt (1)

13 (81%)

9

Tyron Smith, OT, USC
Also receiving votes: Watt (2), Anthony Castonzo (1), Cameron Jordan (1)

12 (75%)

 

 

 

10

Julio Jones, WR, Alabama
Also receiving votes: Quinn (2), Watt (2), Locker (1), Newton (1), Aldon Smith (1)

9 (56%)

The Texans’ pick (made by Paul Kuharsky of ESPN.com):

11

Houston Texans

Aldon Smith, DE/OLB, Missouri

 

 

Kuharsky: “I think the Texans would be disappointed that Robert Quinn’s not around, but I think that’s a dream that they’re probably coming to terms with already that it’s not going to happen. Given this scenario, I think the most likely guy would be Aldon Smith… I’m intrigued, if they stay put at 11 and it pans out like this, by J.J. Watt. I think he’s a very, very good player and could be a very big value at that spot, but he wouldn’t be in the starting lineup for the Texans because he plays the same position as and in the 3-4. He would provide the Texans with great depth at defensive end, but is he an impact guy on opening day the way that they need? Probably not. And so I’m going need over best player available with Aldon Smith.”

Here’s who was picked for the Texans in our 16-mock survey: Quinn (5 votes), Prince Amukamara (4), Ryan Kerrigan (3), Smith (3) and Watt (1).

METHODOLOGY: We polled 16 mock drafts, tabulating how many times a player was picked for each of the top-10 teams in the draft. A player who got the most “votes,” as we call them, at each team was the pick. If a player was the leading vote-getter for more than one team, he went to the team where he had a higher number of votes. The other team received the player with the next-highest vote total.

All of the mocks used were the author/website’s most current mock as of April 21 at 9:30 a.m. CT.

The mock drafts in our survey: (ESPN.com – 4/6), (ESPN.com – 4/20), (SI.com – 4/13), (Pro Football Weekly – 4/15), (Pro Football Talk – 4/19), (NFL Draft Scout/CBS – 4/18), (NFL Draft Scout/CBS – 4/18), (Sporting News – 4/20), (4/7), (NFL.com – 4/12), (NFL.com – 4/11), (NFL.com – 4/18), (Houston Chronicle – 4/18), (View from the Sideline – 4/19), (4/19), (4/17).

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